Will Valve officially announce Half-Life 3 before 2027?

This market resolves YES if Valve officially announces a game explicitly identified as “Half-Life 3” before January 1, 2027 (UTC), otherwise NO.

Resolution Basis (EN)

Official announcements, press releases, product pages, event presentations, Steam News posts, or other communications published directly by Valve.

Resolution Rules (EN)
The market resolves YES if Valve publicly announces a game explicitly named “Half-Life 3” before January 1, 2027 (UTC).
The market resolves NO if no such official announcement occurs before January 1, 2027 (UTC).
A teaser, trailer, reveal event, Steam store page, press release, or official statement qualifies if Valve clearly identifies the game as “Half-Life 3”.
Rumors, leaks, insider reports, datamining findings, trademarks, or unofficial references do not count.
Internal development references without public confirmation do not count.
Announcements of other Half-Life titles, spin-offs, remasters, remakes, expansions, or VR titles that are not explicitly named “Half-Life 3” do not qualify.
A release of the game is not required; only an official announcement is necessary.
If Valve announces the game under a different title without explicitly using “Half-Life 3,” the market resolves NO.
How it is determined (EN)

The result is determined by verifying whether Valve officially announced a game explicitly called “Half-Life 3” before the deadline.

Examples (EN)
Valve unveils “Half-Life 3” during a gaming showcase in 2026 → YES
Valve publishes a Steam page titled “Half-Life 3” in 2026 → YES
Valve announces a new Half-Life game with a different title → NO
Reports claim Half-Life 3 exists but Valve makes no official announcement → NO
No official Half-Life 3 announcement before January 1, 2027 → NO
Important Notes (EN)
The exact name “Half-Life 3” must be officially used by Valve.
Official Valve communications take precedence over third-party reporting.
Public gameplay footage or release dates are not required.
Speculation and community expectations have no bearing on market resolution.
Source (EN)

store.steampowered.com/news

Note (EN)

If multiple sources conflict, official Valve announcements and Steam News publications will take precedence over all third-party reports.

Result will be verified using:
Steam News, Valve official announcements, official Half-Life and Steam websites, and major gaming news outlets.