Will USDT (Tether) market capitalization reach or exceed $230 billion at any time before September 30, 2026 (UTC)?

Yes chance:18%

Price History

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Market Timeline

Apr 17, 2026, 7:26 AM
Open Trading
Sep 28, 2026, 11:59 PM
Trading cutoff
Sep 29, 2026, 9:00 AM
Resolve deadline

Rules Summary

This market resolves based on the market capitalization of USDT (Tether).

Resolution Basis:
The result will be determined by whether USDT’s market capitalization reaches or exceeds $230 billion USD at any point before the deadline.

Resolution Rules:
YES — If USDT’s market cap reaches or exceeds $230,000,000,000 USD at any time before September 30, 2026 (UTC)
NO — If it does not reach the threshold before the deadline

How it is determined:
The highest recorded market capitalization (intraday) as shown on CoinGecko will be used
Market capitalization is calculated as price × circulating supply

Examples:
USDT market cap reaches $235B → YES
USDT market cap reaches exactly $230B → YES
USDT peaks at $229B → NO

Important Notes:
The highest observed market cap is used (not closing value)
Temporary spikes are valid if recorded on the source

Sources:
CoinGecko (primary):
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether

Resolver