Will 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' outperform 'Avengers: Doomsday' in U.S. domestic box office revenue during their respective opening weekends in 2026?

This market resolves YES if 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' records a higher U.S. domestic opening weekend box office revenue than 'Avengers: Doomsday' during their respective opening weekends in 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

Resolution Basis

Resolution will be based on officially reported U.S. domestic opening weekend box office grosses published by recognized box office tracking sources.

Resolution Rules
The comparison uses each film's official U.S. domestic opening weekend gross.
Opening weekend revenue generally refers to the standard Friday–Sunday domestic box office period reported by the source.
If The Super Mario Galaxy Movie earns more domestic opening weekend revenue than Avengers: Doomsday, the market resolves YES.
If The Super Mario Galaxy Movie earns less than or equal to Avengers: Doomsday, the market resolves NO.
Revised official box office figures published before resolution may be used.
How it is determined

The officially reported U.S. domestic opening weekend gross for both films will be compared. The movie with the higher opening weekend revenue determines the outcome.

Examples
Mario Galaxy: $245M, Avengers: $220M → YES
Mario Galaxy: $210M, Avengers: $240M → NO
Mario Galaxy: $230M, Avengers: $230M → NO
Important Notes
Only U.S. domestic opening weekend revenue is considered.
International box office revenue is not included.
Lifetime gross, worldwide gross, and subsequent weekends are not considered.
Source

Official box office reporting sources.

Note

Result will be verified using: Box Office Mojo, The Numbers, IMDb Pro Box Office Data, and other reputable box office tracking sources if necessary.