Will MrBeast reach 550 million YouTube subscribers before December 31, 2026?

Yes chance:79%

Price History

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Market Timeline

Jun 8, 2026, 6:22 AM
Open Trading
Dec 30, 2026, 11:59 PM
Trading cutoff
Jan 1, 2027, 9:00 AM
Resolve deadline

Rules Summary

This market resolves YES if the official YouTube channel of MrBeast reaches or exceeds 550,000,000 subscribers at any time before 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

Resolution Basis (EN)

Resolution will be based on subscriber count data published by YouTube and corroborated by recognized social media analytics platforms.

Resolution Rules (EN)
This market concerns the primary official MrBeast YouTube channel.
The market resolves YES if the subscriber count reaches or exceeds 550,000,000 before 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
The market resolves NO if the subscriber count never reaches 550,000,000 before the deadline.
Temporary subscriber spikes count if they are reflected in publicly available data from reliable sources.
Subscriber removals occurring after the threshold is reached will not affect a YES resolution.
If YouTube changes how subscriber counts are displayed, official channel statistics and recognized analytics sources will be used.
In the event of conflicting data, YouTube's official displayed subscriber count will take precedence.
How it is determined (EN)

The highest verified subscriber count achieved by the official MrBeast channel before the deadline will determine the outcome of this market.

Examples (EN)
Subscriber count reaches 550,000,000 on October 1, 2026 → YES
Subscriber count reaches 562,000,000 on December 30, 2026 → YES
Subscriber count peaks at 549,999,999 by December 31, 2026 → NO
Subscriber count reaches 550,000,000 on January 1, 2027 → NO
Important Notes (EN)
Only the primary official MrBeast YouTube channel is considered.
Subscriber counts from secondary channels are excluded.
The market resolves based on whether the threshold is reached before the stated deadline, not on the final subscriber count at year-end.
Official data and reputable analytics platforms may be used for verification.
Source (EN)

YouTube official channel statistics and recognized social media analytics providers.

Note (EN)

Result will be verified using: YouTube Official Channel Statistics, Social Blade, and other reputable subscriber tracking platforms.